PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

virgilia

0x33c48c0e771b6fb21b659303ed8624de78408ba3

Realised P&L
$-12.6k
Volume
$1.63M
Markets traded
939
Open portfolio
$393.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded939
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the CA-48 House seat? · Yes0.1210.095$144.59$40.05
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat? · Yes0.6900.645$38.33$2.67
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? · Yes0.2010.191$30.11$1.66
Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? · Yes0.3100.275$20.83$2.65
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-06 House seat? · Yes0.0900.085$17.00$1.00
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat? · No0.0900.085$17.00$1.00
Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat? · No0.1700.165$15.62$0.47
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-05 House seat? · Yes0.0700.065$13.00$1.00
Will the Republican Party win the OH-12 House seat? · No0.0700.065$13.00$1.00
Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat? · Yes0.0600.055$11.00$1.00
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-15 House seat? · Yes0.0600.055$11.00$1.00
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat? · No0.0560.052$10.50$0.70
Will the Republican Party win the AL-04 House seat? · No0.0560.037$9.12$4.56
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat? · Yes0.0500.045$9.00$1.00
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-05 House seat? · No0.0570.035$7.08$4.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 23:09Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?SELL0.67$67.00
08-03 20:02Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?SELL0.29$0.78
08-03 19:41Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?SELL0.91$182.00
08-03 19:40Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?SELL0.91$91.00
08-03 19:38Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?SELL0.91$91.00
08-03 19:37Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?SELL0.91$91.00
08-03 19:36Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?SELL0.91$91.00
08-03 19:35Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?SELL0.91$91.00
08-03 19:33Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?SELL0.91$91.00
08-03 19:32Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?SELL0.91$91.00
08-03 19:31Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?SELL0.91$91.00
08-03 19:30Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?SELL0.91$91.00
08-03 19:29Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?SELL0.91$91.00
08-03 19:28Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?SELL0.91$91.00
08-03 19:27Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?SELL0.91$91.00