PolyBot

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Traders

virgilia

0x33c48c0e771b6fb21b659303ed8624de78408ba3

Realised P&L
$-18.0k
Volume
$2.11M
Markets traded
983
Open portfolio
$234.70

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded983
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-07 House seat? · Yes0.0420.040$49.38$3.13
Will the Republican Party win the OR-01 House seat? · Yes0.0400.033$32.50$7.50
Will the Republican Party win the CA-02 House seat? · Yes0.0420.035$22.70$4.93
Will the Republican Party win the CO-08 House seat? · No0.8400.845$21.56+$0.13
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-05 House seat? · Yes0.0700.028$19.72$30.48
Will the Republican Party win the TX-07 House seat? · Yes0.0420.015$18.13$34.38
Will the Republican Party win the TX-16 House seat? · Yes0.0420.010$12.50$40.00
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-05 House seat? · No0.0500.011$11.50$38.50
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-11 House seat? · No0.0570.034$10.93$7.59
Will the Democratic Party win the MI-01 House seat? · Yes0.0680.046$10.70$5.02
Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat? · No0.0600.033$5.78$4.72
Will the Republican Party win the KY-01 House seat? · No0.0600.041$3.68$1.77
Will the Republican Party win the NY-23 House seat? · No0.0800.046$3.27$2.42
Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat? · No0.7300.765$3.26+$0.15
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-11 House seat? · Yes0.0700.026$2.85$4.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 03:29Will the Democratic Party win the MI-09 House seat?SELL0.04$10.00
09-18 03:18Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?SELL0.91$17.15
09-18 03:07Will the Republican Party win the KY-04 House seat?SELL0.04$3.00
09-18 03:01Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?SELL0.06$4.02
09-18 02:55Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?SELL0.07$2.80
09-18 01:27Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?SELL0.65$71.55
09-18 00:53Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?SELL0.63$8.00
09-18 00:50Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?SELL0.63$79.19
09-18 00:46Will the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?SELL0.64$3.20
09-18 00:26Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?SELL0.64$80.96
09-17 23:17Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?SELL0.31$17.43
09-17 23:05Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?SELL0.34$5.11
09-17 22:34Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?SELL0.33$13.04
09-17 21:58Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?SELL0.918$0.92
09-17 20:50Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?SELL0.08$0.03