virgilia
0x33c48c0e771b6fb21b659303ed8624de78408ba3
- Realised P&L
- $-25.9k
- Volume
- $2.54M
- Markets traded
- 1,081
- Open portfolio
- $356.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,081
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$489.08at 0.060Will the Democratic Party win the CA-19 House seat?
- +$377.83at 0.060Will the Republican Party win the MN-05 House seat?
- +$372.86at 0.050Will the Republican Party win the CA-19 House seat?
- +$236.94at 0.070Will the Democratic Party win the NY-14 House seat?
- +$180.24at 0.058Will the Republican Party win the PA-02 House seat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 12:51 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% before 2027? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.13 |
| 10-26 12:50 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% before 2027? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 10-26 12:49 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% before 2027? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 10-26 11:55 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.83 |
| 10-26 11:54 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 10-26 10:04 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% before 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 10-26 07:37 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.85% before 2027? | SELL | 0.27 | $16.20 |
| 10-26 04:28 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027? | SELL | 0.36 | $16.61 |
| 10-26 00:19 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? | SELL | 0.28 | $14.28 |
| 10-25 21:52 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? | SELL | 0.36 | $34.05 |
| 10-25 20:37 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 10-25 19:39 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027? | SELL | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 10-25 18:18 | Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 16:05 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.25% before 2027? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.07 |
| 10-25 13:02 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? | SELL | 0.82 | $24.60 |