Xtahack
0x33b0a59bec7acd33a37ccf5a5b479c98fe18fa5d
- Realised P&L
- $-98.83
- Volume
- $28.8k
- Markets traded
- 88
- Open portfolio
- $3.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded88
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.065 | $2.00 | +$0.88 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.090 | $1.20 | +$0.40 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.011 | $0.55 | −$0.60 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.51 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.56 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.51 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.85at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$30.72at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$16.31at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
- +$13.65at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$13.38at 0.526XRP Up or Down - January 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 20:10 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.016 | $4.80 |
| 05-28 20:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? | SELL | 0.001 | $6.63 |
| 05-28 20:09 | Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0141302699 | $11.06 |
| 05-25 21:01 | Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.01 | $2.44 |
| 05-23 16:07 | Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 05-23 16:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.50 |
| 05-23 16:07 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31? | SELL | 0.038713 | $5.42 |
| 02-04 17:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $4.68 |
| 02-04 17:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.80 |
| 02-04 17:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $4.97 |
| 02-04 17:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $4.89 |
| 02-04 16:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $4.75 |
| 02-04 16:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $4.39 |
| 02-04 16:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $4.32 |
| 02-04 16:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $4.48 |