PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Xtahack

0x33b0a59bec7acd33a37ccf5a5b479c98fe18fa5d

Realised P&L
$-98.83
Volume
$28.8k
Markets traded
88
Open portfolio
$3.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded88
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0360.065$2.00+$0.88
Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company? · Yes0.0600.090$1.20+$0.40
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0230.011$0.55$0.60
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$2.51
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$2.56
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$2.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 20:10Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.016$4.80
05-28 20:10Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?SELL0.001$6.63
05-28 20:09Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.0141302699$11.06
05-25 21:01Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?SELL0.01$2.44
05-23 16:07Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?SELL0.001$0.02
05-23 16:07Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?SELL0.001$2.50
05-23 16:07Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?SELL0.038713$5.42
02-04 17:12Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSELL0.48$4.68
02-04 17:06Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.5$4.80
02-04 17:06Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSELL0.5$4.97
02-04 17:00Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.5$4.89
02-04 16:58Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSELL0.48$4.75
02-04 16:44Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSELL0.45$4.39
02-04 16:38Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.45$4.32
02-04 16:38Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETSELL0.46$4.48