TaitaSmith
0x33ae58aceea89f4704872dce5d43ec1256b75af6
- Realised P&L
- $-59.10
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $43.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.745 | $19.61 | +$9.61 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.800 | 0.959 | $11.99 | +$1.99 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.245 | $5.57 | +$0.57 |
| Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.521 | 0.255 | $5.10 | −$5.32 |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $0.83 | −$4.17 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.021 | $0.51 | −$4.49 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.59at 0.677Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
- +$-10.00at 0.030GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
- +$-10.00at 0.110GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?
- +$-10.00at 0.150DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?
- +$-10.00at 0.100DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 01:24 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 04-23 01:24 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 04-23 01:24 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $5.00 |
| 04-23 01:21 | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? | BUY | 0.02 | $10.00 |
| 04-23 01:19 | DeepSeek V4 released by May 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 04-23 01:19 | DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 04-23 01:18 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 04-23 01:16 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $9.87 |
| 04-23 01:15 | Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.49009802 | $9.59 |
| 04-23 00:12 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 04-23 00:12 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 04-23 00:03 | GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 04-23 00:02 | GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0296044111 | $10.00 |