PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PolyPonPon

0x33ad1d3368b37e0095ce59c6873d842429a3f635

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$57.9k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$87.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · Yes0.0750.066$67.01$10.10
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0910.043$9.32$10.68
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8600.945$5.49+$0.49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8950.960$5.36+$0.36
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET · Down0.3190.000$0.00$45.03
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.3220.000$0.00$2.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-09 03:22Yoon out of custody before 2027?BUY0.1422366615$60.00
05-04 10:42Yoon out of custody before 2027?BUY0.0969999968$25.00
05-04 04:41Yoon out of custody before 2027?BUY0.089921875$11.51
05-02 15:50Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?SELL0.13$41.60
05-02 10:27Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?SELL0.04$2.19
05-02 10:27Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?SELL0.0144148404$1.87
05-02 10:27Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the most seats in South Korea’s 2026 parliamentary by-elections?SELL0.014$1.40
05-02 10:26Yoon out of custody before 2027?BUY0.09$1.80
05-02 10:25Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.06$46.66
04-14 06:27Yoon out of custody before 2027?BUY0.0869999944$13.16
04-14 06:26Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?BUY0.2020010089$18.94
03-30 09:52Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.6799999996$62.44
03-29 13:51US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.094$11.75
03-12 14:45Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.52$2.52
03-10 02:27Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.2105401396$54.58