matchamission
0x33ab58e55895f39619815d31dfc92d90d65f9523
- Realised P&L
- $-62.0k
- Volume
- $32.22M
- Markets traded
- 7,610
- Open portfolio
- $28.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,610
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.500 | 0.788 | $19.7k | +$7.2k |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.211 | $5.3k | −$7.2k |
| Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger · Petr Nesterov | 0.999 | 1.000 | $2.9k | +$1.44 |
| ITF Tauste: Goncalo Marques vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez · Alejo Sanchez Quilez | 0.999 | 1.000 | $158.73 | +$0.08 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Up | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.25 | +$0.01 |
| Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 13.5 · Over | 0.999 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.9k |
| Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.0kat 0.500UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$30.0kat 0.500Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner
- +$25.0kat 0.500UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$20.0kat 0.500Foggia: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Darya Astakhova
- +$20.0kat 0.500LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:53 | Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Anyone to AWP Ace? | BUY | 0.995 | $25.3k |
| 08-03 00:53 | Blast Bounty 2026 Season 2: Anyone to AWP Ace? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.7k |
| 07-30 04:59 | Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 09:54 | Targu Mures: Laura Samson vs Alesia Breaz | BUY | 0.999 | $787.37 |
| 07-25 01:52 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 07-18 02:54 | Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $6.99 |
| 07-15 05:51 | Iasi Open: Ilinca Amariei vs Elsa Jacquemot | SELL | 0.96 | $14.3k |
| 07-14 10:50 | Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-12 09:29 | Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5) | BUY | 0.999 | $892.58 |
| 07-07 16:00 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $455.53 |
| 07-07 15:23 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.999 | $612.10 |
| 07-04 23:14 | Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Paraguay vs France FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.999 | $73.93 |
| 07-03 01:11 | Will Mateo Kovačić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 07-02 20:03 | Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on July 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 07-01 11:24 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.3k |