PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

youmen

0x339a78e2c4db4f62cae77adc831c59f6b339639f

Realised P&L
$-1.12
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$171.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9060.976$101.65+$7.24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes0.7600.760$10.64+$0.00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.7600.755$10.57−$0.07
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.7500.755$10.57+$0.07
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-13? · No0.6900.690$10.35+$0.00
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? · No0.6800.680$10.20+$0.00
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14? · Yes0.5100.510$10.19+$0.00
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.8900.895$6.85+$0.04
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 1.5 · Over0.8300.000$0.00−$10.79
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-05? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00−$10.56
Will Athletic Club vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$8.91
Le Havre AC vs. Angers SCO: O/U 1.5 · Over0.7100.000$0.00−$10.64
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00−$11.20
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-03? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$10.29
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$10.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 07:18Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.029$58.00
09-23 18:58Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.027$18.24
09-11 21:47RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.83$10.79
09-04 18:00Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.66$10.56
09-04 17:59Will Getafe CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?BUY0.34$10.20
09-04 17:58Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.77$11.55
08-31 16:46Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?BUY0.41$6.24
08-31 16:39Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.42$8.47
08-13 04:45Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.6–0.8%?SELL0.002$0.60
08-12 20:24Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 1–1.2%?SELL0.004$1.20
07-08 03:19Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 Week of July 6 2026?SELL0.933$139.94
06-23 01:53Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $60 Week of June 22 2026?SELL0.0177931034$5.16
05-21 14:27Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on May 22?BUY0.9982272727$109.80
05-21 14:12Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on May 22?BUY0.998$100.80
05-21 13:17Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?SELL0.12274$6.14