PolyBot

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Traders

Iraqiman05

0x336ccf215e31de293465df6d82c2c4e44d0141f9

Realised P&L
$-222.08
Volume
$6.1k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$13.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? · Yes0.2500.055$11.00−$39.00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1400.019$2.79−$17.21
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$250 in 2025? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$30.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$33.00
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.4620.000$0.00−$40.00
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$6.91
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$19.00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$220 in 2025? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 19:56Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?BUY0.0699999911$6.91
06-22 19:55Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
06-22 19:54Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
06-22 19:54Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?BUY0.2299999869$10.00
06-22 19:53Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY0.2899999846$10.00
03-19 19:53US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?BUY0.2299999885$11.00
03-19 19:51US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.19$19.00
03-19 19:47Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?SELL0.091$9.10
01-05 23:55Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?BUY0.3$6.00
01-05 23:52Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.1$10.00
01-05 23:49Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.1399999948$20.00
01-05 23:47Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?BUY0.25$50.00
11-29 23:47Will Amazon (AMZN) close at >$250 in 2025?BUY0.2099999957$30.00
11-29 23:43Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$220 in 2025?BUY0.065641408$25.00
11-29 23:35Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.4621294496$40.00