PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Vwxz

0x334f78e4176d65288faac291790d750994ce4041

Realised P&L
$26.42
Volume
$7.0k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$16.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.4401.000$11.36+$6.36
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? · Yes0.5500.355$1.29$0.71
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1680.029$1.02$4.98
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1400.055$0.79$1.21
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? · Yes0.0760.026$0.68$1.32
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2200.040$0.54$2.46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4600.065$0.42$2.58
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.1000.033$0.33$0.68
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? · Yes0.2200.010$0.09$1.91
Will Stephen Miller be next National Security Advisor? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$5.00
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$5.00
Maduro mugshot released by January 9? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$5.00
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025? · Yes0.1810.000$0.00$10.00
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$4.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-11 13:23Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.3699999626$4.94
01-11 13:23Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.2199999531$3.00
01-11 13:23Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
01-11 13:14Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1399999426$2.00
01-11 02:20Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY0.4399999648$5.00
01-11 02:20Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.4599999264$3.00
01-11 02:18Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
01-11 02:16Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
01-11 02:15Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.16$1.00
01-05 16:02Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
01-05 00:46Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
01-05 00:45Maduro mugshot released by January 9?BUY0.599999976$5.00
01-05 00:37Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
01-05 00:32Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?BUY0.0760975266$2.00
01-04 16:53Maduro mugshot released by Monday?BUY0.3299999296$3.00