adilor23
0x334295c10f6c2f1183416c4b07609820b615fba2
- Realised P&L
- $319.46
- Volume
- $63.7k
- Markets traded
- 394
- Open portfolio
- $154.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded394
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.63at 0.938Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
- +$46.48at 0.105Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026?
- +$42.00at 0.830Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on November 11?
- +$34.95at 0.300Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on December 8?
- +$32.00at 0.892Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on November 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:30 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.6099999972 | $63.00 |
| 09-17 15:49 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $62.87 |
| 09-13 18:50 | Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5411206075 | $54.00 |
| 09-05 21:26 | Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? | BUY | 0.2089677923 | $100.00 |
| 06-11 08:32 | Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026? | SELL | 0.4425432836 | $29.65 |
| 06-10 15:03 | Claudio Lotito sells Lazio in 2026? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 05-15 13:06 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $159.29 |
| 05-15 13:06 | Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599999976 | $160.00 |
| 05-15 07:46 | Starmer out by May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999958 | $158.00 |
| 05-13 10:28 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9360670531 | $300.00 |
| 05-12 15:00 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.893 | $317.27 |
| 05-12 08:48 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7239999958 | $100.00 |
| 05-11 09:22 | Will Inter win Coppa Italia? | BUY | 0.7360373317 | $74.00 |
| 05-11 09:14 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9209999997 | $200.00 |
| 05-05 08:05 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.9364512038 | $203.81 |