PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Hedday

0x3329fa41f21d371c040ec57e4704efcb176fdf2f

Realised P&L
$-0.32
Volume
$691.24
Markets traded
91
Open portfolio
$7.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded91
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration79.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? · Yes0.9001.000$1.17+$0.12
Will Solana reach $170 October 12-18? · No0.9990.998$1.10−$0.00
Western Kentucky vs. Sam Houston · Western Kentucky0.9981.000$1.05+$0.00
Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.50? · Yes0.9601.000$1.04+$0.04
Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? · Yes0.9530.970$1.02+$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 16? · No0.9991.000$1.01+$0.00
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026? · Yes0.9400.870$0.94−$0.08
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.75
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in December 2025? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.56
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.60
Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$2.80
Will "The Grinch" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025) · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.53
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.50
Will End of Beginning by Djo be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 24? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.53
Will Trump and Machado handshake last 15 seconds or longer? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 03:38Will Solana reach $170 October 12-18?SELL0.995$5.47
10-15 03:38Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?BUY0.9$1.05
10-15 03:32Will Solana reach $170 October 12-18?BUY0.999$6.60
10-15 03:30Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 16?SELL0.997$5.98
10-15 03:24Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?BUY0.9529999609$1.00
10-15 03:20Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 16?BUY0.999$7.00
10-15 03:17Western Kentucky vs. Sam HoustonBUY0.998$1.05
10-15 03:17Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?BUY0.9399994655$1.02
10-15 03:16Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.50?BUY0.9599996928$1.00
07-01 03:06Will anyone say "Chat" during Love Island E25?SELL0.998$6.82
07-01 03:05Will anyone say "Chat" during Love Island E25?BUY0.999$7.90
07-01 03:04Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?SELL0.995$4.93
07-01 03:04Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?BUY0.998$6.00
07-01 03:01Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in the US in June?SELL0.992$4.96
07-01 03:00Will Kalshi: :Trade the World Cup be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 3?BUY0.949999525$1.00