YYY520
0x331b47dacc08a35826450b45e0370d9ec9333169
- Realised P&L
- $-677.41
- Volume
- $205.3k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $848.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? · No | 0.995 | 0.995 | $499.75 | −$0.25 |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.963 | 0.697 | $348.50 | −$133.00 |
| Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 11–18? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 3 Winner · T1 | 0.463 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$777.00 |
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? · No | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.40 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Up | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A · BNK FEARX | 0.751 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$700.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$452.67at 0.552Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$342.34at 0.745LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)
- +$325.00at 0.600LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
- +$160.06at 0.590Will Ethereum reach $3800 in July?
- +$156.89at 0.784Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:28 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October? | BUY | 0.995 | $500.00 |
| 09-02 06:18 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.99 |
| 08-22 10:59 | Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.975 | $1.0k |
| 08-02 07:42 | Will Variational launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9826092077 | $500.00 |
| 07-07 05:34 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $285 in July? | BUY | 0.988 | $700.00 |
| 07-03 04:09 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.9k |
| 07-01 01:28 | Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $1.0k |
| 06-29 04:54 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $435 end of June? | BUY | 0.99 | $54.45 |
| 06-23 11:05 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 in June? | BUY | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 06-23 11:03 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 in June? | BUY | 0.991 | $185.85 |
| 06-23 10:00 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? | SELL | 0.998 | $522.95 |
| 06-13 11:02 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | BUY | 0.9919999999 | $800.00 |
| 06-13 03:10 | Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $1000.00 |
| 06-13 03:10 | Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9710464676 | $1000.00 |
| 06-13 03:07 | Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $209.55 |