polik22
0x330f924bf7bbca35208ee0eaab3faa9c59c32552
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $967.8k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $100.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bologna win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.005 | $38.49 | −$12.59 |
| Will the LA Clippers be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.009 | $18.33 | −$5.57 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.011 | $14.03 | −$6.61 |
| Will Genoa win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $10.04 | +$0.60 |
| Will the Sacramento Kings be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.004 | $6.03 | −$10.35 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.009 | $5.17 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies be the 2027 NBA Western Conference Champion? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.007 | $4.83 | −$2.61 |
| Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $3.32 | −$19.96 |
| Will Frosinone win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.005 | $0.64 | −$1.70 |
| Spread: Azerbaijan (-5.5) · Azerbaijan | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.50at 0.003Will Hamburger SV be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
- +$44.47at 0.009Will FC Augsburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
- +$32.49at 0.004Will 1. FC Köln be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
- +$28.84at 0.012Will Borussia Mönchengladbach be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?
- +$18.31at 0.001Will Toulouse win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 22:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 10-20 22:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-20 21:34 | Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.05 |
| 10-20 21:34 | Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.20 |
| 10-20 21:31 | Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.0030093678 | $6.42 |
| 10-20 21:31 | Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $15.91 |
| 10-20 21:30 | Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $14.52 |
| 10-20 21:14 | Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $3.30 |
| 10-20 21:12 | Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.0095942554 | $2.70 |
| 10-20 21:12 | Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.0065 | $0.39 |
| 10-20 21:11 | Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $11.30 |
| 10-20 21:10 | Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.0039074474 | $9.40 |
| 10-20 21:09 | Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.18 |
| 10-20 20:54 | Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 10-20 20:50 | Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? | SELL | 0.0027777778 | $0.50 |