PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

loftt

0x3287baaffb248a5d407ed678b86677248b30a2b2

Realised P&L
$-60.56
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
128
Open portfolio
$84.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded128
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.8400.845$10.06+$0.06
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.955$6.44+$0.44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.9000.935$6.23+$0.23
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? · No0.7200.875$6.08+$1.08
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? · No0.9100.920$6.07+$0.07
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · No0.8600.905$5.26+$0.26
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? · No0.8900.880$4.94$0.06
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.680$3.91$1.09
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? · No0.7700.955$3.72+$0.72
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.915$3.35+$0.35
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · No0.8300.895$3.23+$0.23
Yoon out of custody before 2027? · No0.8840.934$3.17+$0.17
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.915$3.16+$0.16
Kash Patel out by December 31? · No0.5000.775$3.10+$1.10
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9300.945$3.05+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 01:48Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.94$108.63
09-16 01:48US x China Military clash before 2027?SELL0.956$31.17
08-28 08:45Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.953$14.72
08-28 08:44China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?SELL0.9181809158$28.67
08-28 08:44Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$5.18
08-28 08:44Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?SELL0.92$5.28
08-28 08:44Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?SELL0.79$6.32
08-05 08:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.289999964$5.00
08-05 08:35NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.74$16.10
08-05 08:35China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.89$18.44
07-17 03:00China x Japan military clash before 2027?BUY0.9299997985$3.00
07-17 02:59Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7759999162$2.00
07-17 02:57Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026BUY0.8199996474$2.00
07-17 02:57Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8699999913$3.00
07-17 02:57Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8199998087$3.00