SBFfromprison
0x32835f17fbda571f0f02c0a3bf0a6f94d60a1da9
- Realised P&L
- $-111.8k
- Volume
- $1.46M
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $68.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.2kat 0.528Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
- +$8.7kat 0.879Ethereum all time high by June 30?
- +$4.5kat 0.770Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
- +$3.4kat 0.887Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
- +$3.3kat 0.912Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 00:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 09-05 00:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 09-03 21:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.58 | $348.00 |
| 07-13 13:09 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5525 | $138.13 |
| 03-18 19:10 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $7.33 |
| 03-14 13:19 | US military draft authorized in 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $969.54 |
| 03-14 05:52 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.33 | $594.00 |
| 03-13 09:07 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.839988817 | $2.5k |
| 03-11 17:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.89 |
| 03-11 17:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 03-10 13:50 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $81.91 |
| 03-10 13:48 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $1.0k |
| 03-10 09:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5262062633 | $1.5k |
| 03-10 09:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7841099082 | $1.5k |
| 03-10 09:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3032913313 | $6.0k |