Slight-Vineyard
0x32835f17fbda571f0f02c0a3bf0a6f94d60a1da9
- Realised P&L
- $-101.9k
- Volume
- $1.47M
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $68.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.2kat 0.528Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
- +$8.7kat 0.879Ethereum all time high by June 30?
- +$4.5kat 0.770Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
- +$3.4kat 0.887Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
- +$3.3kat 0.912Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 23:19 | StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.99 | $861.68 |
| 10-18 23:17 | StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.99 | $331.27 |
| 10-18 23:13 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $200.00 |
| 10-17 17:52 | StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9931747775 | $338.17 |
| 10-09 20:07 | StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7963500622 | $600.00 |
| 10-09 19:58 | StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7525672958 | $800.00 |
| 10-09 19:44 | StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7572232619 | $300.00 |
| 10-09 19:43 | StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5873864999 | $200.00 |
| 10-09 19:43 | StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6130280319 | $200.00 |
| 10-09 19:42 | StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5976903529 | $200.00 |
| 09-05 00:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 09-05 00:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |
| 09-03 21:35 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.58 | $348.00 |
| 07-13 13:09 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5525 | $138.13 |
| 03-18 19:10 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $7.33 |