PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Slight-Vineyard

0x32835f17fbda571f0f02c0a3bf0a6f94d60a1da9

Realised P&L
$-101.9k
Volume
$1.47M
Markets traded
135
Open portfolio
$68.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded135
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8680.982$20.6k+$2.4k
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3000.875$19.5k+$12.8k
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8430.966$6.7k+$851.26
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.8420.979$6.3k+$876.66
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.983$2.9k+$157.50
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6780.105$1.9k−$10.5k
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5120.285$1.8k−$1.5k
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7500.974$1.3k+$298.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4940.959$1.2k+$604.04
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.5510.885$886.53+$334.03
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.7830.980$802.82+$161.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6130.972$738.33+$272.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.979$567.53+$126.73
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3900.915$548.99+$314.99
China coup attempt before 2027? · No0.9020.981$500.52+$40.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 23:19StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.99$861.68
10-18 23:17StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL0.99$331.27
10-18 23:13Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.89$200.00
10-17 17:52StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.9931747775$338.17
10-09 20:07StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.7963500622$600.00
10-09 19:58StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.7525672958$800.00
10-09 19:44StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.7572232619$300.00
10-09 19:43StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.5873864999$200.00
10-09 19:43StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.6130280319$200.00
10-09 19:42StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.5976903529$200.00
09-05 00:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$250.00
09-05 00:02Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$250.00
09-03 21:35Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.58$348.00
07-13 13:09England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5525$138.13
03-18 19:10Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.1$7.33