superblueinc
0x324aed2a00c8f485f636b7d5916fcf44c9a53721
- Realised P&L
- $18.6k
- Volume
- $2.52M
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.251 | 0.221 | $4.4k | −$619.44 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.543 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.6k |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? · No | 0.834 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.4kat 0.781Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
- +$33.2kat 0.796Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
- +$22.0kat 0.732Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?
- +$10.4kat 0.950No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
- +$8.1kat 0.901Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 17:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.7k |
| 09-03 16:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.9k |
| 09-03 16:39 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.9k |
| 09-03 16:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.8k |
| 09-03 15:30 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.58 | $7.4k |
| 09-03 15:28 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.9k |
| 09-02 21:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.9782635861 | $3.7k |
| 09-02 21:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4399999999 | $1000.00 |
| 08-24 17:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9325414207 | $8.5k |
| 08-19 20:44 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $48 in August? | BUY | 0.98 | $47.85 |
| 08-13 08:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9779410355 | $7.8k |
| 08-06 17:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9780627765 | $10.1k |
| 08-05 20:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.97746 | $977.46 |
| 08-05 20:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? | BUY | 0.975 | $101.27 |
| 07-01 02:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | SELL | 0.98 | $9.8k |