PolyBot

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Traders

mystery

0x323d1e68c82ca47c4522df3ef2fc86a1a83d781c

Realised P&L
$858.58
Volume
$76.3k
Markets traded
787
Open portfolio
$8.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded787
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9880.989$494.33+$0.25
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9670.970$436.84+$1.27
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9700.977$420.11+$2.82
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9900.992$396.74+$0.40
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · No0.9690.969$319.77−$0.06
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9720.989$249.95+$4.16
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9630.976$244.16+$3.15
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? · No0.9830.979$236.81−$1.10
Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · No0.9880.994$227.91+$1.26
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9330.973$224.12+$9.00
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9830.990$210.55+$1.32
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9890.991$198.17+$0.20
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9550.971$194.39+$3.00
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · No0.9840.965$193.00−$3.90
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? · No0.9971.000$174.91+$0.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 20:14Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?BUY0.93$4.66
10-13 20:10US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15?BUY0.99$4.95
10-13 18:56OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?BUY0.85$17.10
10-12 21:01Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$4.28
10-12 19:08Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.04$2.00
10-12 18:50Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?BUY0.999$9.99
10-11 19:28Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 13?BUY0.998$4.99
10-11 19:28Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 13?BUY0.995$4.97
10-11 19:14Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?BUY0.999$9.99
10-11 19:14Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11?BUY0.998$9.98
10-11 19:06Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.999$99.90
10-11 07:03Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$4.99
10-10 19:42Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?BUY0.99$9.90
10-10 19:41New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?BUY0.962$10.06
10-10 19:39Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.988$19.76