mystery
0x323d1e68c82ca47c4522df3ef2fc86a1a83d781c
- Realised P&L
- $858.58
- Volume
- $76.3k
- Markets traded
- 787
- Open portfolio
- $8.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded787
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$500.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
- +$90.48at 0.895Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?
- +$61.02at 0.771Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$59.74at 0.852Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
- +$44.72at 0.886Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 20:14 | Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.66 |
| 10-13 20:10 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 10-13 18:56 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.10 |
| 10-12 21:01 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.28 |
| 10-12 19:08 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 18:50 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-11 19:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on October 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 10-11 19:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 10-11 19:14 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-11 19:14 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-11 19:06 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-11 07:03 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 10-10 19:42 | Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-10 19:41 | New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.962 | $10.06 |
| 10-10 19:39 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.988 | $19.76 |