sundogg
0x323209ad240a50b736c64e811266bdb85306b477
- Realised P&L
- $22.67
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $53.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.85at 0.402Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$25.47at 0.210Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$25.30at 0.157Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$18.00at 0.320Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$13.61at 0.281Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:49 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.24 | $24.00 |
| 09-16 18:32 | Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 06-11 08:08 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 03-27 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 27? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.98 |
| 03-19 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 03-18 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19? | BUY | 0.0357642857 | $1.00 |
| 03-18 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 02-26 14:25 | Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 02-21 16:51 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.39 | $32.76 |
| 02-18 21:05 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.26 | $21.84 |
| 02-01 09:56 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | SELL | 0.2795 | $27.95 |
| 02-01 09:54 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | BUY | 0.2879 | $28.79 |
| 01-26 04:35 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | BUY | 0.33 | $25.74 |
| 01-25 15:32 | Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5 | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 01-25 15:26 | Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $4.74 |