sundogg
0x323209ad240a50b736c64e811266bdb85306b477
- Realised P&L
- $6.26
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $39.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.280 | $8.40 | −$1.20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.325 | $8.13 | +$1.12 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.130 | $7.80 | +$1.80 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.101 | $5.05 | −$3.60 |
| Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.335 | $5.03 | −$1.12 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.165 | $3.30 | −$0.70 |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.035 | $2.07 | −$4.17 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? · No | 0.181 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.91 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 22? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 20? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 20? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.85at 0.402Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
- +$25.47at 0.210Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$25.30at 0.157Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$18.00at 0.320Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$10.92at 0.260Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 08:08 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 03-27 13:09 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 27? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.98 |
| 03-19 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 22? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 03-18 22:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or higher on March 19? | BUY | 0.0357642857 | $1.00 |
| 03-18 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 02-26 14:25 | Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 02-21 16:51 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.39 | $32.76 |
| 02-18 21:05 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.26 | $21.84 |
| 02-01 09:56 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | SELL | 0.2795 | $27.95 |
| 02-01 09:54 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | BUY | 0.2879 | $28.79 |
| 01-26 04:35 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | BUY | 0.33 | $25.74 |
| 01-25 15:32 | Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5 | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 01-25 15:26 | Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5 | BUY | 0.32 | $4.74 |
| 01-25 09:32 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.42 | $6.30 |
| 01-25 09:14 | Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |