PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x323120C01D4b9478dd7d6Af4B7959F2B5f6824aE-1778092109062

0x323120c01d4b9478dd7d6af4b7959f2b5f6824ae

Realised P&L
$-895.31
Volume
$8.5k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$95.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027? · No0.9600.986$18.46+$0.49
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.9670.979$18.14+$0.21
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? · No0.9670.958$17.75−$0.18
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9770.966$17.74−$0.20
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? · No0.9800.998$16.28+$0.29
Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · Yes0.1890.094$5.44−$5.50
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.9700.962$1.98−$0.02
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$21.16
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET · Down0.1370.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$63.47
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$8.19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13? · Yes0.8650.000$0.00−$149.38
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$77.10
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 29? · Up0.9200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.9270.000$0.00−$4.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 19:18Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.998$5.04
07-31 14:23Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.989$4.99
07-31 13:32Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?SELL0.99$5.44
07-30 19:39Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?SELL0.99$2.02
07-30 18:22Trump out as President before GTA VI?BUY0.51$5.00
07-30 08:49Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?SELL0.992$5.17
07-30 05:44Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?BUY0.9$4.94
07-29 15:30Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?BUY0.91$5.00
07-29 12:36Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?BUY0.928$4.99
07-29 11:48S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 29?BUY0.92$5.00
07-29 08:15Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?BUY0.97$5.00
07-28 19:57Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?SELL0.999$5.14
07-28 14:12Will White House post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?SELL0.995$5.40
07-28 14:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.92$5.00
07-28 11:07Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31?BUY0.957$4.99