0x323120C01D4b9478dd7d6Af4B7959F2B5f6824aE-1778092109062
0x323120c01d4b9478dd7d6af4b7959f2b5f6824ae
- Realised P&L
- $-877.43
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $103.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$329.50at 0.103Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 13?
- +$11.41at 0.940Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
- +$11.06at 0.940Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?
- +$10.87at 0.943Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$8.13at 0.885Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 19:18 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $5.04 |
| 07-31 14:23 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.99 |
| 07-31 13:32 | Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.44 |
| 07-30 19:39 | Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $2.02 |
| 07-30 18:22 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.00 |
| 07-30 08:49 | Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31? | SELL | 0.992 | $5.17 |
| 07-30 05:44 | Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.94 |
| 07-29 15:30 | Will there be at least 2350 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 12:36 | Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.928 | $4.99 |
| 07-29 11:48 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 29? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 08:15 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 19:57 | Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.14 |
| 07-28 14:12 | Will White House post 200+ posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $5.40 |
| 07-28 14:01 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 11:07 | Will Russia enter Serhiivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.957 | $4.99 |