KAIDEN
0x322efafa7b39ad9d5f6ae81a22045972ebdbd02d
- Realised P&L
- $15.64
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $5.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.069 | $2.38 | +$0.96 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.135 | $1.08 | −$0.92 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.183 | $1.00 | −$0.00 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.631 | 0.205 | $0.54 | −$1.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.91at 0.028Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 6?
- +$11.85at 0.200Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$8.48at 0.025Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 7?
- +$8.04at 0.127Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?
- +$5.05at 0.059Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 10:49 | Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.56 |
| 06-16 10:49 | Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0633601344 | $5.28 |
| 05-26 14:44 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1839998705 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 14:43 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | SELL | 0.034 | $2.00 |
| 05-26 14:08 | Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 05-26 14:07 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.80 |
| 03-16 09:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 21? | BUY | 0.1657499699 | $3.86 |
| 03-16 09:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 21? | BUY | 0.0810000023 | $2.99 |
| 03-16 09:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 20? | BUY | 0.0359999886 | $3.00 |
| 03-16 09:38 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.63 | $9.48 |
| 03-15 10:46 | Will Hibachi launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.35 |
| 03-15 10:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on March 21? | BUY | 0.0497462939 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 12:03 | Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.62 | $12.60 |
| 03-13 19:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 14? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 18:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 14? | BUY | 0.0389999635 | $1.00 |