0x3222405a40aa6f0d043553e1ce0d24520eb34c75
0x3222405a40aa6f0d043553e1ce0d24520eb34c75
- Realised P&L
- $33.35
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $200.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.07at 0.225Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?
- +$17.05at 0.396Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$15.83at 0.387Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitals
- +$15.17at 0.397Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?
- +$13.96at 0.417Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 14:43 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6639999806 | $9.88 |
| 10-03 03:28 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $9.76 |
| 09-18 23:35 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999828 | $9.91 |
| 09-18 22:00 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.699 | $8.54 |
| 09-13 11:11 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.36 | $9.72 |
| 09-13 08:32 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.88 | $9.94 |
| 09-11 22:48 | Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.4209999947 | $9.81 |
| 09-11 12:44 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6699999905 | $9.87 |
| 09-11 10:57 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $9.86 |
| 09-10 21:22 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.8499999957 | $9.94 |
| 09-10 11:29 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.8199999472 | $9.94 |
| 09-10 03:38 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.869999993 | $9.94 |
| 09-09 23:47 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8129999869 | $9.94 |
| 08-16 05:34 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.97 |
| 07-21 06:50 | Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.955 | $0.04 |