PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gf1n0gh5

0x31ec5a854d3054301b900770363c48b8ba85d394

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$39.1k
Markets traded
300
Open portfolio
$279.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded300
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30? · Yes0.7201.000$50.00+$14.00
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5400.715$35.75+$8.75
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.705$35.25+$8.25
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? · No0.8300.880$17.60+$1.00
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · No0.8800.860$17.20−$0.40
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? · Yes0.7100.795$15.90+$1.70
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.785$15.70−$0.50
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes0.7700.755$15.10−$0.30
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.8800.715$14.30−$3.30
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6300.595$11.90−$0.70
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? · No0.4800.450$9.00−$0.60
Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.5500.385$7.70−$3.30
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.4900.150$7.50−$17.00
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%? · Yes0.2400.130$6.50−$5.50
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years? · Yes0.5200.265$5.30−$5.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 09:11Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?SELL0.85$16.94
09-15 08:44Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.46$9.20
09-05 21:41Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?SELL0.14$2.80
09-05 16:25Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?SELL0.7$3.25
09-04 02:05Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.12$2.40
09-02 21:59Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?SELL0.8$14.25
09-02 16:14US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?SELL0.11$2.09
08-27 22:56Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?SELL0.34$0.51
08-25 19:49Will Hesai be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?SELL0.84$16.80
08-22 09:48Will Leon Goretzka join AC Milan?SELL0.1$0.36
08-21 22:49Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?SELL0.14$2.80
08-21 20:06Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?SELL0.06$1.20
08-20 13:04Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?SELL0.17$0.08
08-20 07:19Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.22$4.40
08-20 07:19Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?SELL0.89$17.80