0x31da9d902faabe6a90615d58f2e221ab28ad5055
0x31da9d902faabe6a90615d58f2e221ab28ad5055
- Realised P&L
- $476.65
- Volume
- $38.7k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $20.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $5.00 | −$4.99 |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $5.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $5.00 | −$4.99 |
| Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $5.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20? · No | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$244.45at 0.337Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
- +$196.73at 0.286Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
- +$191.00at 0.306Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
- +$74.62at 0.208Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12?
- +$72.82at 0.874Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 13:01 | Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 13:09 | Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 13:18 | Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-29 13:11 | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 13:27 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 13:02 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 12:23 | Will Brentford FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 15:21 | Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999988 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 11:13 | Will England vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999991 | $12.00 |
| 09-25 12:04 | Will Italy vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 12:20 | Will BK Häcken FF win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.2899999996 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 14:17 | Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999971 | $18.00 |
| 09-16 14:03 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.3699999984 | $35.00 |
| 09-15 08:25 | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.5599999919 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 13:54 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.75 | $20.00 |