0x3193b23eA9bE85E9E50B0DAf623dA26DA845CC5a-1776878022085
0x3193b23ea9be85e9e50b0daf623da26da845cc5a
- Realised P&L
- $-799.60
- Volume
- $43.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,664
- Open portfolio
- $1.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,664
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.44at 0.662Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 24?
- +$68.93at 0.119Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?
- +$68.05at 0.516Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$53.50at 0.748Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on April 25?
- +$48.25at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 21:56 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.008877368 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 09:52 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $5.82 |
| 09-18 16:34 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.0509999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 16:33 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 10:25 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $15.48 |
| 09-17 23:45 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999994 | $14.62 |
| 08-18 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.1983471074 | $6.00 |
| 08-18 16:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $6.00 |
| 08-18 12:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $6.00 |
| 08-18 10:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $6.00 |
| 08-18 08:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6562499766 | $7.00 |
| 08-18 05:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 04:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 03:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 03:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999674 | $5.00 |