PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3193b23eA9bE85E9E50B0DAf623dA26DA845CC5a-1776878022085

0x3193b23ea9be85e9e50b0daf623da26da845cc5a

Realised P&L
$-799.60
Volume
$43.3k
Markets traded
2,664
Open portfolio
$1.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,664
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30? · Yes0.0020.002$0.75$0.25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? · No0.0510.034$0.67$0.33
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026? · Yes0.0090.005$0.56$0.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Up0.7100.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Down0.1940.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET · Up0.0850.000$0.00$22.29
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Down0.1900.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET · Up0.8620.000$0.00$3.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET · Up0.7000.000$0.00$2.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET · Down0.2800.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET · Down0.7700.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET · Down0.3900.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00$2.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Up0.8980.000$0.00$7.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 21:56Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026?BUY0.008877368$1.00
09-19 09:52Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.22$5.82
09-18 16:34Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?BUY0.0509999978$1.00
09-18 16:33Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30?BUY0.002$1.00
09-18 10:25Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.18$15.48
09-17 23:45Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1299999994$14.62
08-18 20:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.1983471074$6.00
08-18 16:24Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.88$6.00
08-18 12:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.8$6.00
08-18 10:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY0.88$6.00
08-18 08:29Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.6562499766$7.00
08-18 05:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ETBUY0.3899999774$5.00
08-18 04:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.84$5.00
08-18 03:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.3399999633$5.00
08-18 03:29Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY0.7399999674$5.00