PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x234C0765C9005d2E16DbBa09D

0x3187f370d1d129d0e893ce581d190274d9a62ec4

Realised P&L
$8.80
Volume
$12.8k
Markets traded
111
Open portfolio
$710.28

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded111
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9740.981$201.33+$1.33
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · No0.8900.975$109.49+$9.49
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.9470.979$103.33+$3.33
EU dissolves before 2027? · No0.9680.977$100.88+$0.88
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · No0.8300.885$70.80+$4.40
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.953$56.70+$6.70
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? · No0.9500.966$48.30+$0.80
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.7100.695$6.95$0.15
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.2300.175$5.25$1.65
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.0900.075$4.50$0.90
Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027? · No0.9300.945$2.75+$0.04
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$3.00
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 11:50NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.29$5.80
07-08 12:04Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.113387609$1.00
07-04 18:20Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.71$7.10
07-04 18:17Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?BUY0.95$47.50
07-04 18:16Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?BUY0.83$12.59
07-04 18:12Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?BUY0.974$9.74
07-01 17:50Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.95$20.00
06-29 20:56EU dissolves before 2027?BUY0.9679999912$100.00
06-29 20:22Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?BUY0.7899999968$20.00
04-03 19:00Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?BUY0.0419999868$3.00
03-28 15:13Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsBUY0.5$5.00
03-23 12:34Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?SELL0.008$0.89
03-23 12:34Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026?SELL0.10116661$5.95
03-23 12:33Iran leadership change by April 30?SELL0.27$6.92
03-23 12:33Iran leadership change by March 31?SELL0.06$1.43
Trader 0x234C0765C9005d2E16DbBa09D · PolyBot