0x234C0765C9005d2E16DbBa09D
0x3187f370d1d129d0e893ce581d190274d9a62ec4
- Realised P&L
- $8.80
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $710.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.65at 0.880Zuckerberg divorce in 2025?
- +$26.65at 0.950Was JFK assassination an inside job?
- +$25.76at 0.790Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$17.91at 0.886Obama divorce in 2025?
- +$16.07at 0.933Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 11:50 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 07-08 12:04 | Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.113387609 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 18:20 | Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 07-04 18:17 | Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 07-04 18:16 | Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $12.59 |
| 07-04 18:12 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7? | BUY | 0.974 | $9.74 |
| 07-01 17:50 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.95 | $20.00 |
| 06-29 20:56 | EU dissolves before 2027? | BUY | 0.9679999912 | $100.00 |
| 06-29 20:22 | Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 04-03 19:00 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | BUY | 0.0419999868 | $3.00 |
| 03-28 15:13 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 03-23 12:34 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.89 |
| 03-23 12:34 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in March 2026? | SELL | 0.10116661 | $5.95 |
| 03-23 12:33 | Iran leadership change by April 30? | SELL | 0.27 | $6.92 |
| 03-23 12:33 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.43 |