parklsonstt
0x31657c6d9935ec103d77cc5732dd7ce75e9ea6ac
- Realised P&L
- $-2.10
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 136
- Open portfolio
- $513.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded136
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.96at 0.500Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition
- +$5.81at 0.500Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$4.24at 0.500Katana FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$4.16at 0.500Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?
- +$4.12at 0.500Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 09:28 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.885 | $7.96 |
| 03-04 09:17 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $8.01 |
| 03-04 08:47 | Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.939 | $4.69 |
| 03-04 08:05 | Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $8.36 |
| 03-03 07:45 | Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.74 |
| 03-03 07:14 | Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.963 | $8.19 |
| 03-03 07:13 | Major CEX insolvent in 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.57 |
| 03-03 07:12 | Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.74 |
| 03-03 07:11 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.57 |
| 03-03 07:10 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $7.05 |
| 03-03 07:09 | SBF released from custody in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $7.39 |
| 03-03 07:08 | Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.74 |
| 03-03 07:07 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? | BUY | 0.83 | $7.05 |
| 03-03 07:06 | USD1 depeg by December 31? | BUY | 0.9364705882 | $7.96 |
| 03-03 07:05 | Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June? | BUY | 0.89 | $7.57 |