0x31414c01faf4a3c71d2a33d7fd78eafacfc273f3
- Realised P&L
- $7.81
- Volume
- $219.00
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $20.39
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No | 0.430 | 0.895 | $4.16 | +$2.16 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · No | 0.540 | 0.900 | $3.33 | +$1.33 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.600 | 1.000 | $3.33 | +$1.33 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.885 | $2.95 | +$0.95 |
| Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.230 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.655 | $1.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.690 | $1.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? · No | 0.230 | 0.115 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$4.79at 0.300Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$2.11at 0.492Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?
- +$1.86at 0.470Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 27 2026?
- +$1.80at 0.532Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 09:10 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 22:22 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 14:18 | Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 06:18 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 22:16 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $177.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 13:52 | Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 04:37 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 14:42 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 23:42 | Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 03:26 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 18:42 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 09:14 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 00:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 09:43 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 09-04 01:52 | Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |