0x312d268ab4d1823684d6838f24a3c96da7d66814
0x312d268ab4d1823684d6838f24a3c96da7d66814
- Realised P&L
- $24.1k
- Volume
- $1.40M
- Markets traded
- 6,996
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded6,996
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.446Will Sepp Straka win the 2025 Hero World Challenge?
- +$2.7kat 0.399Will England win?
- +$1.6kat 0.640Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.5kat 0.534Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.4kat 0.747ICC WWC: South Africa vs. Sri Lanka
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 07:12 | Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Hernan Casanova | BUY | 0.5 | $148.69 |
| 09-27 07:12 | Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Hernan Casanova | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 07:12 | Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Hernan Casanova | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 07:12 | Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Hernan Casanova | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 03:55 | Spread: BC Juventus Utena (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5149494949 | $5.10 |
| 09-27 00:14 | Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.586 | $200.00 |
| 09-26 14:59 | Will Bayonne win? | BUY | 0.62 | $10.89 |
| 09-26 12:26 | Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.122 | $16.47 |
| 09-26 11:42 | Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2176205369 | $16.70 |
| 09-26 11:34 | Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3 | $21.99 |
| 09-26 11:33 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.94 | $199.99 |
| 09-26 11:33 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.94 | $199.99 |
| 09-26 11:33 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.94 | $199.99 |
| 09-26 11:33 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.94 | $199.99 |
| 09-26 11:33 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.94 | $199.99 |