PolyBot

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Traders

0x312d268ab4d1823684d6838f24a3c96da7d66814

0x312d268ab4d1823684d6838f24a3c96da7d66814

Realised P&L
$24.1k
Volume
$1.40M
Markets traded
6,996
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded6,996
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.5860.979$333.95+$133.96
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.1700.245$311.51+$95.85
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No0.6700.892$264.13+$65.74
Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Hernan Casanova · Gustavo Heide0.5000.680$236.23+$62.53
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · No0.3470.975$192.45+$123.99
Central Espanol FC vs. Liverpool Montevideo: O/U 4.5 · Over0.1330.095$24.55−$9.71
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · No0.7500.395$12.29−$11.04
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · No0.7100.585$8.38−$1.79
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.2470.295$8.36+$1.35
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · No0.5900.165$7.10−$18.30
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · No0.3100.365$4.55+$0.69
Spread: BC Juventus Utena (-7.5) · BC Nevezis Kedainiai0.5150.440$4.36−$0.74
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · No0.2980.075$3.39−$10.07
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · No0.2530.045$1.38−$6.39
Real Valladolid CF vs. Córdoba CF: O/U 7.5 · Over0.1160.008$0.67−$8.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 07:12Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Hernan CasanovaBUY0.5$148.69
09-27 07:12Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Hernan CasanovaBUY0.5$5.00
09-27 07:12Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Hernan CasanovaBUY0.5$10.00
09-27 07:12Curitiba: Gustavo Heide vs Hernan CasanovaBUY0.5$10.00
09-27 03:55Spread: BC Juventus Utena (-7.5)BUY0.5149494949$5.10
09-27 00:14Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.586$200.00
09-26 14:59Will Bayonne win?BUY0.62$10.89
09-26 12:26Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.122$16.47
09-26 11:42Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.2176205369$16.70
09-26 11:34Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.3$21.99
09-26 11:33Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.94$199.99
09-26 11:33Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.94$199.99
09-26 11:33Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.94$199.99
09-26 11:33Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.94$199.99
09-26 11:33Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.94$199.99