0x31146995806d1bAad5e46635b491fda2184d5D42-1747563286943
0x31146995806d1baad5e46635b491fda2184d5d42
- Realised P&L
- $-58.52
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $23.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.40at 0.252Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?
- +$14.91at 0.385Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$11.70at 0.461Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?
- +$9.40at 0.220Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$8.46at 0.196Will Linke win at least 23% of all valid second votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 13:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $8.00 |
| 10-28 12:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 12:42 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.11 | $11.23 |
| 10-28 12:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 12:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 12:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 12:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 12:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $2.19 |
| 10-28 12:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 12:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 10-28 12:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $10.21 |
| 10-28 12:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $9.00 |
| 10-28 11:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 11:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 11:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.94 |