PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x31146995806d1bAad5e46635b491fda2184d5D42-1747563286943

0x31146995806d1baad5e46635b491fda2184d5d42

Realised P&L
$-58.52
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$23.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · Yes0.4600.705$7.66+$2.66
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6500.715$5.50+$0.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1590.154$4.86−$0.14
Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms? · Yes0.1400.105$2.25−$0.75
Will PSOE receive between 28% and 30% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.3100.220$1.42−$0.58
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1000.115$1.15+$0.15
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1600.145$0.91−$0.09
Nothing Ever Happens: September · Something0.0140.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? · Yes0.6400.000$0.00−$8.08
Will Catherine Connolly win by 15–20%? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00−$0.50
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.1750.000$0.00−$1.00
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 13:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETBUY0.5$8.00
10-28 12:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
10-28 12:42Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.11$11.23
10-28 12:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.5099999776$10.00
10-28 12:27Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.299999985$2.00
10-28 12:27Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSELL0.51$2.00
10-28 12:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.5099999516$2.00
10-28 12:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETSELL0.47$2.19
10-28 12:24Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.4299999807$2.00
10-28 12:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.299999985$2.00
10-28 12:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSELL0.59$10.21
10-28 12:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETBUY0.5199999792$9.00
10-28 11:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETBUY0.5099999776$5.00
10-28 11:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.1499999925$1.00
10-28 11:54Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSELL0.99$5.94