PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HD19840507

0x31139db02aa5250b60bcfbe30f04e432e5be905d

Realised P&L
$-81.91
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$387.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration84.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Jahmyr Gibbs: 2+ Touchdowns · Yes0.3700.500$135.14+$35.14
Lions vs. Bills · Lions0.3150.155$98.44$101.56
Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 · Over0.5070.500$53.78$0.78
Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 · Over0.5200.500$49.04$1.96
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5300.575$10.85+$0.85
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes0.0370.036$9.86$0.13
Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes0.0070.006$9.28$0.72
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes0.0580.049$8.50$1.50
Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes0.1790.138$7.68$2.32
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6200.645$5.20+$0.20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:37Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5BUY0.5072110802$54.56
09-17 21:36Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5BUY0.5199999955$51.00
09-17 21:34Lions vs. BillsBUY0.3099999992$100.00
09-17 15:15Jahmyr Gibbs: 2+ TouchdownsBUY0.369999999$100.00
09-17 15:12Lions vs. BillsBUY0.32$100.00
09-15 19:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETSELL0.99$26.61
09-15 19:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.9299999993$25.00
09-15 05:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.04$3.72
09-15 05:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETBUY0.0360605702$25.00
09-15 05:53Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
09-14 21:50Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.0070024438$10.00
09-14 21:50Will Matthew Stafford win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.0369999999$10.00
09-14 21:49Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.0576745998$10.00
09-14 21:49Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.1789999993$10.00
09-14 21:47Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5299999868$10.00