HD19840507
0x31139db02aa5250b60bcfbe30f04e432e5be905d
- Realised P&L
- $-81.91
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $387.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahmyr Gibbs: 2+ Touchdowns · Yes | 0.370 | 0.500 | $135.14 | +$35.14 |
| Lions vs. Bills · Lions | 0.315 | 0.155 | $98.44 | −$101.56 |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 · Over | 0.507 | 0.500 | $53.78 | −$0.78 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.500 | $49.04 | −$1.96 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.575 | $10.85 | +$0.85 |
| Will Matthew Stafford win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.036 | $9.86 | −$0.13 |
| Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.006 | $9.28 | −$0.72 |
| Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.049 | $8.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.138 | $7.68 | −$2.32 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.645 | $5.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.96at 0.562Broncos vs. Chiefs
- +$1.47at 0.934Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
- +$-30.66at 0.039Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 21:37 | Amon-Ra St. Brown: Receiving Yards O/U 79.5 | BUY | 0.5072110802 | $54.56 |
| 09-17 21:36 | Jahmyr Gibbs: Rushing Yards O/U 89.5 | BUY | 0.5199999955 | $51.00 |
| 09-17 21:34 | Lions vs. Bills | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 15:15 | Jahmyr Gibbs: 2+ Touchdowns | BUY | 0.369999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-17 15:12 | Lions vs. Bills | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 19:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $26.61 |
| 09-15 19:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 05:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $3.72 |
| 09-15 05:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0360605702 | $25.00 |
| 09-15 05:53 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 21:50 | Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0070024438 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 21:50 | Will Matthew Stafford win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0369999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 21:49 | Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0576745998 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 21:49 | Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.1789999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 21:47 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $10.00 |