PolyBot

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Traders

0x3108cc01230014e069e061574c070255274547ea

0x3108cc01230014e069e061574c070255274547ea

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$43.8k
Markets traded
417
Open portfolio
$82.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded417
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? · Yes0.7601.000$6.58+$1.58
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · No0.7000.735$5.25+$0.25
Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? · Yes0.9300.976$5.24+$0.24
Will Trump say "No Tax on Tips" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? · Yes0.9400.955$5.07+$0.08
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No0.7200.725$5.03+$0.03
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7200.725$5.03+$0.03
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more? · Yes0.6010.601$5.00−$0.00
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.9200.915$4.96−$0.03
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.9600.951$4.95−$0.05
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9580.934$4.87−$0.13
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · No0.8480.790$4.65−$0.34
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8600.780$4.53−$0.47
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.7300.630$4.32−$0.68
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · No0.7300.630$4.32−$0.68
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? · Yes0.4100.345$4.21−$0.79

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 21:01Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.96$5.00
10-03 20:23Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9579999414$5.00
10-03 20:23Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.4$2.58
10-03 18:08Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7399999881$4.99
10-03 18:02Spread: Florida (-5.5)BUY0.5199999792$5.00
10-03 17:35Louisville vs. NC StateBUY0.6199999628$5.00
10-03 17:19Spread: Louisville (-3.5)BUY0.4799999846$5.00
10-03 16:07Spread: Tennessee (-6.5)BUY0.5099999776$5.00
10-03 15:56Alabama vs. Mississippi StateBUY0.6699999611$5.00
10-03 15:07Will Trump say "No Tax on Tips" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.94$4.99
10-03 14:15Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.4$2.30
10-03 13:40Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7199999424$5.00
10-03 13:38Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?SELL0.35$4.27
10-03 07:54Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MO-04 House election by 30% or more?BUY0.6009999678$5.00
10-02 21:12Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9199999926$4.99