PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

chopin

0x30f891cc7ef02c536de1026acdcc95464127b824

Realised P&L
$9.4k
Volume
$1.02M
Markets traded
1,335
Open portfolio
$2.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,335
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8430.955$396.65+$46.65
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.8190.815$348.33$1.67
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6900.775$336.96+$36.96
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.8650.834$289.08$10.92
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7170.935$260.83+$60.83
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.945$210.00+$10.00
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8770.945$196.11+$14.11
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7400.720$144.00$4.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.940$128.77+$28.77
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.4370.512$102.50+$15.10
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.815$89.56$10.44
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes0.1900.825$66.00+$50.80
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6600.645$32.25$0.75
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 · Under0.4700.485$29.10+$0.90
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.5900.545$27.25$2.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 14:16Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6899999963$100.00
09-16 14:16Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6899999987$200.00
09-16 14:14Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.956$566.12
09-16 14:00Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5BUY0.47$25.85
09-13 14:10Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$385.66
09-13 14:08Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5BUY0.11$2.20
09-13 14:07Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5BUY0.23$6.90
09-13 14:07Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.41$16.40
09-12 10:15Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5BUY0.09$1.80
09-12 10:15Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.26$5.20
09-11 03:53Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.19$15.20
09-11 03:48Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.959$779.09
09-11 03:47Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.961$534.38
09-07 09:21Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.958$532.72
09-07 09:21Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.9554196937$565.77