chopin
0x30f891cc7ef02c536de1026acdcc95464127b824
- Realised P&L
- $9.4k
- Volume
- $1.02M
- Markets traded
- 1,335
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,335
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.767Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
- +$1.5kat 0.783Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$1.3kat 0.461Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
- +$1.0kat 0.477Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
- +$999.59at 0.750Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 14:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999963 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 14:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999987 | $200.00 |
| 09-16 14:14 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.956 | $566.12 |
| 09-16 14:00 | Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $25.85 |
| 09-13 14:10 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $385.66 |
| 09-13 14:08 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 09-13 14:07 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.23 | $6.90 |
| 09-13 14:07 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.41 | $16.40 |
| 09-12 10:15 | Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 09-12 10:15 | Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 09-11 03:53 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $15.20 |
| 09-11 03:48 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.959 | $779.09 |
| 09-11 03:47 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.961 | $534.38 |
| 09-07 09:21 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.958 | $532.72 |
| 09-07 09:21 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.9554196937 | $565.77 |