0x30d3c2bcd4b5fbf1134e9dcb02ca543a4a89ebda
0x30d3c2bcd4b5fbf1134e9dcb02ca543a4a89ebda
- Realised P&L
- $-1.74
- Volume
- $139.66
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $5.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No | 0.800 | 0.855 | $1.59 | +$0.10 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.620 | $1.24 | +$0.24 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.145 | $1.03 | −$0.46 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.525 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.530 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.67at 0.247Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$3.43at 0.308Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$2.50at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 11?
- +$2.39at 0.389S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of September 28 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:28 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 10:01 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:35 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 11:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:28 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:23 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 21:55 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999491 | $1.49 |
| 09-19 02:17 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.4099999257 | $1.49 |
| 09-18 02:32 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999877 | $1.49 |
| 09-17 18:26 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.3499999883 | $1.49 |
| 09-17 04:44 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999485 | $1.49 |
| 09-16 07:52 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4799999485 | $1.49 |
| 09-16 07:51 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.3799999643 | $1.49 |
| 09-15 23:51 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299999105 | $1.49 |