PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x30d3c2bcd4b5fbf1134e9dcb02ca543a4a89ebda

0x30d3c2bcd4b5fbf1134e9dcb02ca543a4a89ebda

Realised P&L
$-1.74
Volume
$139.66
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$5.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.8000.855$1.59+$0.10
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.5000.620$1.24+$0.24
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2100.145$1.03−$0.46
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes0.5400.525$0.97−$0.03
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · No0.6400.530$0.83−$0.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 18:28Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
10-05 10:01Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-04 23:35Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
10-01 11:38SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?BUY0.29999994$1.00
10-01 03:28Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-26 18:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?BUY0.25$1.00
09-26 09:23Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?BUY0.4$1.00
09-20 21:55Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $212 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.6899999491$1.49
09-19 02:17Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.4099999257$1.49
09-18 02:32Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6099999877$1.49
09-17 18:26Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.3499999883$1.49
09-17 04:44Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.4799999485$1.49
09-16 07:52Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4799999485$1.49
09-16 07:51S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16?BUY0.3799999643$1.49
09-15 23:51Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.4299999105$1.49