PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x30C4570Eb1c5a3EFB1aAD2639A2Cd135bAA7a0AD-1767739722511

0x30c4570eb1c5a3efb1aad2639a2cd135baa7a0ad

Realised P&L
$199.41
Volume
$31.5k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$213.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.7600.810$213.16+$13.16
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2020.000$0.00$20.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3280.000$0.00$50.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.3720.000$0.00$50.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$9.00
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$10.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$9.99
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 19:21Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.7599999992$200.00
09-16 09:30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1299999999$10.00
09-10 17:19Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.63$277.20
09-08 14:30Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$5.00
09-07 13:16Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$220.00
07-14 20:10France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3724999979$50.00
07-11 22:28Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2024999921$20.00
07-07 22:03Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.001$10.00
07-07 22:02Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3279999964$50.00
07-07 22:02Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0299999971$10.00
06-15 17:55Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.0239999977$10.00
01-24 01:29Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$9.00
01-24 01:28Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?SELL0.024$1.92
01-24 01:28Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?SELL0.0695203024$2.48
01-24 01:28Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?SELL0.0219295372$3.37