goodgt
0x30c0156c164965c4dd2b3ccd780d20bc19732bcb
- Realised P&L
- $6.99
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $101.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe · No | 0.955 | 0.978 | $53.75 | +$1.24 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.943 | 0.942 | $23.55 | −$0.03 |
| Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 0.920 | $18.40 | +$1.40 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $5.68 | +$0.01 |
| Will federal spending decrease by more than $2t between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.40 |
| Will Madani first lead in the 2nd round? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.51at 0.950Will a Republican win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.50at 0.910Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$0.83at 0.910Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
- +$0.53at 0.975Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?
- +$0.46at 0.938Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-19 09:58 | Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 01-19 09:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.67 |
| 01-19 09:57 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.943 | $23.57 |
| 12-18 07:41 | Will Trump jail Elon Musk? | BUY | 0.997 | $17.95 |
| 12-18 07:40 | Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.997 | $9.47 |
| 12-18 07:40 | Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | SELL | 0.996 | $7.97 |
| 08-07 07:34 | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | SELL | 0.92 | $13.80 |
| 08-07 07:32 | Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | SELL | 0.993 | $31.78 |
| 07-13 08:37 | Will Meta have the top AI model on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 07-13 08:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July? | BUY | 0.995 | $21.89 |
| 07-13 08:30 | Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.998 | $31.94 |
| 02-11 09:01 | Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $8.64 |
| 11-30 02:59 | Tether Insolvent in 2024? | BUY | 0.981 | $14.42 |
| 10-31 15:32 | Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $28.69 |
| 09-15 10:06 | Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.69 |