PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

spoonable

0x30ad66f38fc367fa20bf020bf339cafd9b34b098

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$71.8k
Markets traded
201
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded201
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Yes0.8570.721$600.23−$113.51
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? · No0.9590.985$269.16+$7.11
Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.982$176.76+$23.76
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No0.7300.735$147.00+$1.00
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8800.865$86.50−$1.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7600.745$74.50−$1.50
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · No0.9110.859$56.56−$3.44
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? · No0.9201.000$54.97+$4.37
Will STRC hit $100 by November 30? · Yes0.9500.649$3.25−$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 14:39Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.9107238218$60.00
10-27 11:31Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.9494107315$600.00
10-26 19:41Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.998$99.80
10-26 19:40Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.945$37.80
10-26 19:05Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.997$199.40
10-26 19:05Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.808$80.80
10-26 17:02Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.9238774399$250.00
10-26 13:27Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?BUY0.759$3.79
10-26 08:55Will Iliana Iotova win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?BUY0.996$136.45
10-25 22:17Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?BUY0.922$12.92
10-25 20:46Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?SELL0.81$162.00
10-25 07:37Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?BUY0.71$99.28
10-20 09:44Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.727$21.80
10-20 07:20Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.29$25.98
10-20 07:20Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.3$49.62