PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x309C522b164538B1Ce012dE313337358f78a415D-1763405394682

0x309c522b164538b1ce012de313337358f78a415d

Realised P&L
$-235.50
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$101.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-20.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration85.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)79.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · Yes0.7650.380$84.48$85.58
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4600.070$15.51$86.49
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · Yes0.8300.858$1.03+$0.03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$1.00
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$2.92
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$7.38
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.2780.000$0.00$121.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-01 07:02Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.5199999915$7.38
02-28 07:55Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
02-13 18:27Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
02-11 23:59Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.5233930797$20.35
02-11 23:59Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.64$0.97
02-11 23:27Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.99$1.00
02-11 23:23Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.9799991572$1.00
02-11 21:18Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETBUY0.7$0.98
02-11 21:01Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.5599998432$0.97
02-11 20:50Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.9299997117$1.00
02-11 20:49Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.95$1.00
02-11 20:38Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.1099999032$1.00
02-11 19:52Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.74$2.69
02-11 19:41Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETBUY0.99$2.72
02-09 21:55US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?BUY0.962$1.00