PolyBot

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Traders

0x30901903cfda5ea72d68d6815b1aafddaade79df

0x30901903cfda5ea72d68d6815b1aafddaade79df

Realised P&L
$3.85
Volume
$344.89
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$4.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.4700.955$2.87+$1.46
Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? · Yes0.3700.490$1.32+$0.32
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · No0.7800.445$0.57−$0.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 18:30Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-11 22:24Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-11 14:21Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-11 06:11Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-10 21:41Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.32$1.00
10-10 13:30Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?BUY0.78$1.00
10-10 05:17Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-09 17:59Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5539997396$1.00
10-09 17:46Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.4449998042$1.00
10-09 09:40Will Core CPI YoY be 2.5% in September?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-08 23:13Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7409998162$1.00
10-07 14:38Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-07 06:20Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of October 5?BUY0.5939998883$1.00
10-06 22:17Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-06 14:17Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00