0x303c71dae50e50431006c361ba049ff477a5dea6
0x303c71dae50e50431006c361ba049ff477a5dea6
- Realised P&L
- $11.16
- Volume
- $169.81
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $55.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.700 | $20.76 | +$1.48 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.735 | $19.57 | +$0.67 |
| Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.570 | $5.48 | +$0.48 |
| Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? · No | 0.220 | 0.929 | $4.22 | +$3.23 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.950 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? · No | 0.875 | 0.952 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.705 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.473 | 0.356 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.415 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.09at 0.724Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
- +$0.97at 0.502Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
- +$0.57at 0.642Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$0.54at 0.655Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
- +$0.50at 0.635Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 01:25 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999816 | $18.90 |
| 11-01 01:24 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.6499999983 | $19.28 |
| 10-30 16:49 | LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.8099999996 | $39.13 |
| 10-29 06:43 | LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage | BUY | 0.8 | $20.29 |
| 10-29 06:42 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs | BUY | 0.7099999967 | $41.38 |
| 10-29 06:35 | Will Lando Norris win 3+ Grands Prix in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.35 |
| 10-24 02:11 | F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 02:06 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.766 | $2.49 |
| 10-10 18:24 | Will Lando Norris win 3+ Grands Prix in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 18:23 | Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 18:22 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 18:21 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 03:39 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.8 | $2.58 |
| 09-24 20:12 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 20:12 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $3.00 |