0x303C2F753A58e99Fe06f3E9A6253382A9874aCf9-1772610694759
0x303c2f753a58e99fe06f3e9a6253382a9874acf9
- Realised P&L
- $-10.11
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 676
- Open portfolio
- $77.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded676
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.01at 0.125Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$19.21at 0.243Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.00at 0.714Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
- +$4.32at 0.417France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
- +$4.24at 0.195Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 06:24 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 06:23 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Ilia Simakin | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 21:20 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:00 | Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin by October 31? | BUY | 0.9099996679 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 17:00 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:57 | Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October? | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 11:27 | Israel military action against Lebanon on October 15? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 05:45 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 21:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8769999496 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 21:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8809998291 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 22:18 | UFC 332: Marcus McGhee vs. Anthony Romero (Featherweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 15:20 | UFC 332: Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan (Welterweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.68 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 15:19 | UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 15:19 | UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 15:18 | UFC 332: Johnny Walker vs. Mick Parkin (Heavyweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |