0x303ac3d56200b1e72a797788847b089b2f05bbca
- Realised P&L
- $-162.75
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $30.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.23at 0.260Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
- +$2.63at 0.655Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$1.84at 0.841Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$1.45at 0.904Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
- +$1.38at 0.411Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 15:13 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.02 |
| 06-22 15:11 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.02 |
| 06-22 10:38 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.01 |
| 06-22 10:32 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.01 |
| 06-21 17:09 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.01 |
| 06-21 13:54 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.01 |
| 06-21 05:36 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.01 |
| 06-21 05:21 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.01 |
| 06-19 21:47 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.01 |
| 06-19 21:16 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.81 | $0.01 |
| 06-19 10:38 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.01 |
| 06-19 10:35 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.02 |
| 06-18 17:08 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.01 |
| 06-18 13:50 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.03 |
| 06-18 09:11 | StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.85 | $0.01 |