PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

itxsaw2

0x30382c307d6dc09f48685367927bb42d8e969368

Realised P&L
$2.6k
Volume
$47.6k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$10.0k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? · Yes0.7840.994$5.2k+$1.1k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6090.655$1.5k+$103.77
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.6410.795$795.01+$153.79
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.7790.952$666.08+$120.67
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.5150.770$308.67+$102.24
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2520.247$297.25$5.23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.6870.925$277.48+$71.50
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8200.935$229.60+$28.28
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? · Yes0.6090.850$189.17+$53.74
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4280.635$129.44+$42.13
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.7480.885$106.20+$16.40
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No0.7800.925$92.49+$14.50
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.915$91.50+$3.50
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6600.810$81.00+$15.00
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? · Yes0.5000.560$28.00+$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-16 03:02Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?BUY0.929$194.16
07-15 04:39Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?SELL0.992$57.13
07-15 04:39Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?SELL0.137$13.70
07-06 13:33Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?BUY0.966$38.64
06-29 18:16Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.963$4.81
06-15 15:50Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.79$79.00
06-13 17:04Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?BUY0.49$21.51
05-29 15:05Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.999$49.95
05-27 16:37Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.55$50.60
05-18 18:01Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.98$414.78
05-16 06:30Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.71$142.00
05-16 06:29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.71$142.00
05-13 12:22Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.9475266$189.51
05-13 00:48Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.952$190.40
05-12 00:53Starmer out by May 15, 2026?BUY0.709$141.80