itxsaw2
0x30382c307d6dc09f48685367927bb42d8e969368
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $47.6k
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $10.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$175.62at 0.917US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$133.83at 0.854Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
- +$132.80at 0.870Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
- +$130.80at 0.660Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$113.66at 0.882Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 03:02 | Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | BUY | 0.929 | $194.16 |
| 07-15 04:39 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | SELL | 0.992 | $57.13 |
| 07-15 04:39 | Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting? | SELL | 0.137 | $13.70 |
| 07-06 13:33 | Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | BUY | 0.966 | $38.64 |
| 06-29 18:16 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.963 | $4.81 |
| 06-15 15:50 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $79.00 |
| 06-13 17:04 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.49 | $21.51 |
| 05-29 15:05 | Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 05-27 16:37 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.55 | $50.60 |
| 05-18 18:01 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $414.78 |
| 05-16 06:30 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 05-16 06:29 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 05-13 12:22 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9475266 | $189.51 |
| 05-13 00:48 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.952 | $190.40 |
| 05-12 00:53 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.709 | $141.80 |