PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

katbot

0x3007ea6df4389c173a5119162be94aac6bba763a

Realised P&L
$51.3k
Volume
$1.04M
Markets traded
154
Open portfolio
$142.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded154
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.3740.805$34.5k+$18.4k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.6490.865$17.6k+$4.4k
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.4530.675$9.4k+$3.1k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.6500.825$8.5k+$1.8k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.6570.665$7.6k+$86.40
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.7710.805$7.2k+$301.68
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No0.6330.945$7.0k+$2.3k
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.5930.625$6.9k+$354.23
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.5100.850$5.8k+$2.3k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6690.905$5.7k+$1.5k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8070.835$4.5k+$149.94
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7520.795$4.1k+$222.04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6160.855$3.5k+$991.05
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7030.935$3.4k+$850.75
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.3580.393$3.3k+$289.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:14Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.6699999993$100.00
09-17 01:35Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.6499999994$100.00
09-17 00:14Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.6320369653$100.00
09-17 00:03Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.6199999984$100.00
09-16 23:59Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.6199999984$100.00
09-16 23:59Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.6199999984$100.00
09-16 23:59Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.6138613854$100.00
09-16 23:59Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.6099999985$100.00
09-16 23:59Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.6099999985$100.00
09-16 23:13Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.839999999$100.00
09-16 23:08Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.6099999985$100.00
09-16 23:07Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.839999999$100.00
09-16 05:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.75$100.00
09-16 05:34Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.5799999979$100.00
09-16 04:04Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?BUY0.772768169$100.00