PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Raman.u

0x2ffabd4fb708830ef22131adabc015c9c757661c

Realised P&L
$-30.42
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$100.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2? · No0.9951.000$50.21+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 2? · No0.9981.000$30.06+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2? · Yes0.9991.000$20.01+$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Up0.6750.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down0.9600.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET · Up0.8700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.0880.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET · Down0.9620.000$0.00−$9.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Down0.3400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Up0.1700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 16:09Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 2?BUY0.999$20.00
10-02 15:44Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2?BUY0.9959999645$20.00
10-02 15:43Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2?BUY0.9950049755$30.00
10-02 10:08Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 2?BUY0.997$100.00
10-02 08:32Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 2?BUY0.9975960263$30.00
10-02 08:06Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 2?SELL0.992$9.99
10-02 07:56Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 2?BUY0.9929999996$10.00
10-01 16:01Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 1?BUY0.9968575911$70.00
10-01 15:06Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.9921178223$10.00
10-01 10:31Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on October 1?BUY0.998$10.00
10-01 09:56Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on October 1?BUY0.9699999981$5.00
10-01 08:37Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 1?SELL0.933$4.77
10-01 08:35Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.9779999977$5.00
09-30 06:18Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETBUY0.2199999974$10.00
09-30 06:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETBUY0.98$3.00