0x2fe4f490aaf17b7ed369e217b334311994818d71
0x2fe4f490aaf17b7ed369e217b334311994818d71
- Realised P&L
- $1.21
- Volume
- $255.18
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $9.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.425 | $1.63 | +$0.63 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · No | 0.420 | 0.655 | $1.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.780 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September? · No | 0.770 | 0.840 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.395 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.715 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.665 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.610 | 0.505 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.165 | $0.39 | −$0.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$2.57at 0.280US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$1.91at 0.349S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$1.68at 0.379SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:08 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:07 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:53 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:39 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:31 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:10 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 in September? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:08 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:34 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:12 | Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:59 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:59 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 16:33 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 08:04 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $197.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 23:45 | Will Costco say "Expansion" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 15:00 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |