PolyBot

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Traders

bolovolo

0x2fe4ae98d12dd1c3d77355a28d01669b1ea25504

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$472.6k
Markets traded
4,361
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,361
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · No0.8180.948$231.66+$31.66
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.5100.952$186.55+$86.56
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.6770.940$138.94+$38.93
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7500.925$123.33+$23.33
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? · No0.7680.890$115.83+$15.83
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.2800.451$67.93+$25.71
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5030.439$26.34−$3.87
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.795$23.85+$2.85
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2700.355$21.30+$5.10
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7300.725$14.50−$0.10
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5900.725$14.50+$2.70
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6200.715$14.30+$1.90
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3800.595$11.90+$4.30
Discord IPO before 2027? · Yes0.6500.064$9.77−$90.23
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7070.052$7.42−$92.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 03:27Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.506$15.18
10-14 18:23Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.42$4.20
09-11 07:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.5$9.00
09-11 07:09Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.5$11.00
09-11 06:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETBUY0.47$10.34
09-11 04:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETBUY0.52$9.36
09-11 03:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETBUY0.53$2.65
09-11 03:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETBUY0.5372222222$9.67
09-11 03:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETBUY0.54$9.72
09-11 03:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETBUY0.52$11.44
09-11 02:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.5316666667$9.57
09-11 02:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ETBUY0.5$10.99
09-11 02:49Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETBUY0.52$7.80
09-11 02:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY0.5$1.87
09-11 02:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY0.5131818182$11.29