p3723hdfgewy726478b
0x2fd9bdb51474ff65e520c5c42768082ca5811c31
- Realised P&L
- $-182.48
- Volume
- $751.1k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $236.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.415 | $122.24 | −$4.42 |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.415 | $113.89 | −$6.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$178.01at 0.880Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- +$38.95at 0.146Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- +$15.54at 0.008Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?
- +$10.62at 0.060Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$7.37at 0.190Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 17:16 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.943 | $19.85 |
| 07-27 16:30 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 07-27 16:30 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 07-27 16:30 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 07-27 16:30 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 07-27 16:30 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.50 |
| 07-27 16:23 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.994 | $37.73 |
| 07-25 13:41 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 07-25 12:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 07-25 03:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 07-24 19:24 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.096 | $5.76 |
| 07-24 18:20 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.35 |
| 07-24 17:18 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $99.30 |
| 07-24 10:59 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.101 | $6.17 |
| 07-24 06:17 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.964 | $28.92 |