0x2fcfcd53caad28a313cf9eb4055254e933d46cc9
0x2fcfcd53caad28a313cf9eb4055254e933d46cc9
- Realised P&L
- $-6.03
- Volume
- $234.13
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $5.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? · No | 0.550 | 0.525 | $1.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.715 | $1.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.785 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.520 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.44at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$5.11at 0.287Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
- +$4.60at 0.310Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.482Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?
- +$1.92at 0.392Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 12:41 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 04:41 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 07:45 | Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 23:45 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 15:43 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 07:42 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699998807 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 23:40 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.609999783 | $1.04 |
| 09-22 14:05 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 02:27 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 18:27 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 10:25 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 02:25 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 19:51 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 20:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 10:30 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699997035 | $2.00 |