0x2fa8e68dee1ce25772823c232be00b51569f997b
0x2fa8e68dee1ce25772823c232be00b51569f997b
- Realised P&L
- $-135.92
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $177.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.125 | $104.17 | +$4.17 |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes | 0.635 | 0.445 | $35.04 | −$14.96 |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.010 | $18.51 | −$42.22 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.036 | $13.85 | −$36.15 |
| Will Patrik Schick (Leverkusen) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.043 | $5.48 | −$11.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.69at 0.728Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-05?
- +$-21.60at 0.216Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?
- +$-134.01at 0.182Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-08-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 18:49 | Will Bayer Leverkusen win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 18:48 | Will Patrik Schick (Leverkusen) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? | BUY | 0.083 | $1.74 |
| 08-31 14:51 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999979 | $50.00 |
| 08-29 14:41 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.02 | $4.92 |
| 08-29 14:06 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 13:53 | Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 08-29 13:44 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.1799999976 | $50.00 |
| 08-29 04:19 | Will Bayer Leverkusen qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.6349206349 | $50.00 |
| 08-29 04:19 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.6899999968 | $50.00 |
| 08-28 16:58 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.6199999975 | $50.00 |
| 08-28 16:58 | Will Patrik Schick (Leverkusen) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season? | BUY | 0.138 | $14.90 |
| 08-28 16:56 | Will Bayer Leverkusen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.0328085157 | $60.73 |