Jiaxi.1997
0x2fa6e41e2ae0033939a6b3b32fc77150bcf9610f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $23.7k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $261.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$774.30at 0.723US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$147.00at 0.950US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$12.60at 0.370Will Russia target Kyiv on October 18, 2026?
- +$0.14at 0.660Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 18?
- +$0.14at 0.135Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 12:47 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $11.00 |
| 06-15 14:37 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $5.94 |
| 06-15 09:43 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999996 | $160.00 |
| 06-15 08:16 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0979999984 | $50.00 |
| 06-15 08:15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $110.00 |
| 06-15 02:20 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $320.60 |
| 06-14 14:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $184.80 |
| 06-14 14:28 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? | SELL | 0.2218683017 | $178.04 |
| 06-14 14:17 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? | SELL | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 06-14 01:54 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? | BUY | 0.53 | $184.44 |
| 06-13 00:57 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $442.50 |
| 06-08 15:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $2.9k |
| 06-02 17:01 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.8k |
| 05-24 04:23 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.0k |
| 05-23 06:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $738.00 |