tYdfqhA
0x2f793b296b7a9fd37ad68bdca54e2858bf23f250
- Realised P&L
- $-62.61
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 130
- Open portfolio
- $26.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded130
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.63at 0.190Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
- +$24.69at 0.288Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
- +$18.70at 0.230Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
- +$12.82at 0.052Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$12.70at 0.720Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 07:36 | Will Democrats win white voters in the midterms? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 07:34 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.12 |
| 08-13 20:13 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.29 |
| 07-25 14:04 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? | BUY | 0.2999999801 | $7.52 |
| 07-19 21:27 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.258 | $4.03 |
| 07-16 21:51 | Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0023805355 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 21:51 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 21:51 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0036953891 | $3.00 |
| 07-16 21:50 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3209999883 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 21:48 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | SELL | 0.045 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 21:47 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.658 | $5.91 |
| 07-03 09:04 | Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 09:03 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2226600339 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 09:02 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3349999587 | $3.00 |
| 07-03 09:01 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.192 | $3.00 |